Peeling the layers of earthquake risk — talks at IIT Bombay and IISc Bangalore

I gave a talk at IIT Bombay and IISc Bangalore on how earthquake risk models function less as precise predictions and more as heuristics for policy — which makes how modelers communicate uncertainty and limitations just as important as the models themselves. What counts as tolerable risk, ultimately, is a question for stakeholders, not just engineers.

The talk drew on ongoing work on earthquake risk tolerance for building codes, funded by Natural Hazards Commission Toka Tū Ake.